Virginia
W-L: (10- 6) PR = 98.6098Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 H Colgate Patriot ( 6- 9, 93.0) 19-14 214 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (14- 1, 99.1) 12-18 221 A Stony Brook CAA (10- 5, 92.0) 19- 7 228 H Johns Hopkins B1G ( 9- 5, 96.5) 13-14 303 A High Point Atlantic 10 ( 6- 8, 93.3) 14- 7 307 H Towson CAA (11- 4, 95.3) 9-13 314 A Maryland B1G ( 7- 6, 97.6) 12-13 321 H Utah ASUN ( 9- 5, 95.2) 16-11 323 H Dartmouth Ivy ( 4- 9, 93.2) 18- 7 328 H Notre Dame ACC (10- 2, 99.9) 11- 9 404 A Duke ACC ( 9- 4, 98.6) 14-10 411 A Syracuse ACC (11- 5, 98.6) 9-14 418 H North Carolina ACC (12- 4, 98.7) 15-16 424 H Drexel CAA ( 9- 6, 92.9) 17- 6 501 N Notre Dame ACC (10- 2, 99.9) 15-10 o 503 N North Carolina ACC (12- 4, 98.7) 16- 6 o
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
208 H Colgate 19-14 5 7 -1.99
214 A Richmond 12-18 -6 -2 -- -4.11
221 A Stony Brook 19- 7 12 5 1.77
228 H Johns Hopkins 13-14 -1 4 -- -4.53
303 A High Point 14- 7 7 4 + 3.04
307 H Towson 9-13 -4 5 --- -8.65
314 A Maryland 12-13 -1 0 -0.68
321 H Utah 16-11 5 5 0.17
323 H Dartmouth 18- 7 11 7 0.17
328 H Notre Dame 11- 9 2 0 1.92
404 A Duke 14-10 4 -1 ++ 5.38
411 A Syracuse 9-14 -5 -1 - -3.59
418 H North Carolina 15-16 -1 1 - -2.28
424 H Drexel 17- 6 11 7 0.00
501 N Notre Dame 15-10 o 5 -1 +++ 6.29
503 N North Carolina 16- 6 o 10 0 +++ 7.10
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Towson 9-13 -4 5 --- -8.65 214 A Richmond 12-18 -6 -2 -- -4.11 228 H Johns Hopkins 13-14 -1 4 -- -4.53 411 A Syracuse 9-14 -5 -1 - -3.59 418 H North Carolina 15-16 -1 1 - -2.28 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 N Notre Dame 15-10 o 5 -1 +++ 6.29 503 N North Carolina 16- 6 o 10 0 +++ 7.10 404 A Duke 14-10 4 -1 ++ 5.38 303 A High Point 14- 7 7 4 + 3.04 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Colgate ( 6- 9, 93.0) 19-14 -6.90 13.70 -1.38 0.89 22.04
3 A Richmond (14- 1, 99.1) 12-18 -0.77 19.82 1.38 0.89 -0.27
3 A Stony Brook (10- 5, 92.0) 19- 7 -7.89 12.70 1.38 0.89 25.19
3 H Johns Hopkins ( 9- 5, 96.5) 13-14 -3.45 17.15 -1.38 0.89 -2.16
3 A High Point ( 6- 8, 93.3) 14- 7 -6.63 13.97 1.38 0.89 27.45
3 H Towson (11- 4, 95.3) 9-13 -4.57 16.03 -1.38 0.89 -2.66
3 A Maryland ( 7- 6, 97.6) 12-13 -2.34 18.25 1.38 0.89 -0.43
3 H Utah ( 9- 5, 95.2) 16-11 -4.74 15.85 -1.38 0.89 25.90
3 H Dartmouth ( 4- 9, 93.2) 18- 7 -6.75 13.85 -1.38 0.89 22.32
3 H Notre Dame (10- 2, 99.9) 11- 9 -0.00 20.60 -1.38 0.89 34.39
3 A Duke ( 9- 4, 98.6) 14-10 -1.28 19.32 1.38 0.89 37.02
3 A Syracuse (11- 5, 98.6) 9-14 -1.26 19.34 1.38 0.89 -0.05
3 H North Carolina (12- 4, 98.7) 15-16 -1.19 19.40 -1.38 0.89 -1.15
3 H Drexel ( 9- 6, 92.9) 17- 6 -6.99 13.61 -1.38 0.89 21.88
3 N Notre Dame (10- 2, 99.9) 15-10 -0.00 20.60 -0.00 0.89 36.85
3 N North Carolina (12- 4, 98.7) 16- 6 -1.19 19.40 -0.00 0.89 34.71
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281.03
|
winning pts = 287.7487 losing points = -6.7189
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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