Virginia
W-L: ( 8- 6) PR = 97.1330Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 H Colgate ( 5- 8, 92.4) 19-14 214 A Richmond (12- 1, 99.2) 12-18 221 A Stony Brook ( 8- 5, 90.3) 19- 7 228 H JHU ( 8- 4, 96.1) 13-14 303 A High Point ( 6- 7, 92.5) 14- 7 307 H Towson (10- 3, 95.2) 9-13 314 A Maryland ( 7- 5, 96.9) 12-13 321 H Utah ( 9- 4, 94.7) 16-11 323 H Dartmouth ( 4- 9, 92.4) 18- 7 328 H Notre Dame (10- 1, 99.9) 11- 9 404 A Duke ( 9- 4, 97.9) 14-10 411 A Syracuse (11- 4, 98.1) 9-14 418 H No Carolina (11- 3, 98.4) 15-16 424 H Drexel ( 9- 5, 92.3) 17- 6 501 N Notre Dame (10- 1, 99.9)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
208 H Colgate 19-14 5 6 -1.04
214 A Richmond 12-18 -6 -3 - -2.59
221 A Stony Brook 19- 7 12 5 1.50
228 H JHU 13-14 -1 2 - -3.32
303 A High Point 14- 7 7 3 + 3.73
307 H Towson 9-13 -4 3 --- -7.29
314 A Maryland 12-13 -1 -1 0.06
321 H Utah 16-11 5 4 1.29
323 H Dartmouth 18- 7 11 6 0.96
328 H Notre Dame 11- 9 2 -1 + 3.45
404 A Duke 14-10 4 -2 +++ 6.13
411 A Syracuse 9-14 -5 -2 - -2.71
418 H No Carolina 15-16 -1 0 -1.05
424 H Drexel 17- 6 11 6 0.89
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Towson 9-13 -4 3 --- -7.29 214 A Richmond 12-18 -6 -3 - -2.59 228 H JHU 13-14 -1 2 - -3.32 411 A Syracuse 9-14 -5 -2 - -2.71 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Duke 14-10 4 -2 +++ 6.13 303 A High Point 14- 7 7 3 + 3.73 328 H Notre Dame 11- 9 2 -1 + 3.45 |
Virginia Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Virginia | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Virginia | |
| Albany | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Virginia | |
| Army | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Virginia | |
| Bellarmine | Virginia | Virginia 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Binghamton | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Boston Univ | Virginia | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Virginia | |
| Brown | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Virginia | |
| Bryant | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Bucknell | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Virginia | |
| Canisius | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Cleveland St | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Colgate | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Cornell | |
| Dartmouth | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Delaware | Virginia | Virginia 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Denver | Virginia | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Virginia | |
| Detroit | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Drexel | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Duke | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Fairfield | Virginia | Virginia 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Georgetown | Georgetown | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Georgetown | |
| Hampton | Virginia | Virginia 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Harvard | Virginia | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Virginia | |
| High Point | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Hobart | Virginia | Virginia 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Hofstra | Virginia | Virginia 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Holy Cross | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Virginia | |
| Iona | Virginia | Virginia 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Jacksonville | Virginia | Virginia 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| JHU | JHU | JHU | ||
| Lafayette | Virginia | Virginia 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Le Moyne | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Lehigh | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Virginia | |
| LIU | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Loyola | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Virginia | |
| Manhattan | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Marist | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Marquette | Virginia | Virginia 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Maryland | Maryland | Maryland | ||
| UMass | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Virginia | |
| UMassLowell | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Mercer | Virginia | Virginia 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Mercyhurst | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Merrimack | Virginia | Virginia 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Michigan | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Virginia | |
| Monmouth | Virginia | Virginia 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Mt St Marys | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Navy | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Virginia | |
| NJIT | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| No Carolina | No Carolina | No Carolina | ||
| Notre Dame | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Ohio State | Virginia | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Virginia | |
| Pennsylvania | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Virginia | |
| Penn St | Penn St | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Penn St | |
| Princeton | Princeton | Princeton 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Providence | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Queens | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Quinnipiac | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Richmond | Richmond | Richmond | ||
| Rob Morris | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Virginia | |
| Rutgers | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Virginia | |
| Sacred Heart | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Virginia | |
| Siena | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| St Bonnies | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Virginia | |
| St Johns | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| St Josephs | Virginia | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 4) | Virginia | |
| Stony Brook | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Syracuse | Syracuse | Syracuse | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| UMBC | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Virginia | |
| Utah | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Vermont | Virginia | Virginia 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Villanova | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Virginia | |
| VMI | Virginia | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Virginia | |
| Wagner | Virginia | Virginia | ||
| Yale | Virginia | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Virginia |
PowerWise = 66
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.40
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
20 H Colgate ( 5- 8, 92.4) 19-14 -7.49 13.81 -1.32 0.96 23.90
14 A Richmond (12- 1, 99.2) 12-18 -0.68 20.61 1.32 0.96 -0.31
21 A Stony Brook ( 8- 5, 90.3) 19- 7 -9.59 11.70 1.32 0.96 24.94
15 H JHU ( 8- 4, 96.1) 13-14 -3.76 17.53 -1.32 0.96 -2.43
12 A High Point ( 6- 7, 92.5) 14- 7 -7.35 13.94 1.32 0.96 29.21
3 H Towson (10- 3, 95.2) 9-13 -4.74 16.55 -1.32 0.96 -2.90
7 A Maryland ( 7- 5, 96.9) 12-13 -3.03 18.26 1.32 0.96 -0.82
22 H Utah ( 9- 4, 94.7) 16-11 -5.15 16.14 -1.32 0.96 28.36
6 H Dartmouth ( 4- 9, 92.4) 18- 7 -7.49 13.80 -1.32 0.96 23.90
8 H Notre Dame (10- 1, 99.9) 11- 9 -0.00 21.29 -1.32 0.96 38.23
11 A Duke ( 9- 4, 97.9) 14-10 -1.95 19.34 1.32 0.96 39.55
21 A Syracuse (11- 4, 98.1) 9-14 -1.80 19.49 1.32 0.96 -0.23
20 H No Carolina (11- 3, 98.4) 15-16 -1.50 19.79 -1.32 0.96 -1.35
23 H Drexel ( 9- 5, 92.3) 17- 6 -7.56 13.73 -1.32 0.96 23.76
------
223.82
|
winning pts = 231.8597 losing points = -8.0379
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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